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Topic: Re:Re:Moneyball
Posted by: bobby osborne
Date/Time: 06/05/15 09:25:00

Here is a precis of Soccernomics by Kuper and Szymanski with their ‘rules’ for a successful Moneyball approach.

1. Net wage spend is more important than net transfer spend (pp. 14-21)
2. Don’t needlessly splash out on new players or sell old ones when you take over a club – the New Manager Syndrome (pp. 21-22)
3. Don’t recruit players who impressed at international tournaments: they’re likely to be overvalued and past performance is no indication of future performance, especially when they’re playing with a different team (pp. 22-24) – there are different incentives and a different tactical set-up at tournaments, and it’s a super small sample size.
4. Some nationalities are overrated, like Holland, Brazil, and England (pp. 24-25)
5. Sell your players at the right time: when they’re around 30 years old, goalkeepers aside (p. 29)
6. Use the wisdom of crowds: ask all your scouts and a Director of Football if you have one (pp. 43-44)
7. Buy players in their early twenties, which avoids the problems with not developing properly, and means previous statistics have greater value (pp. 45-47)
8. Centre-forwards cost more than they should (p. 47)
9. Sell any player if a club offers more than they are worth and try to replace them before they are sold (pp. 48-49)
10. Don’t buy players if you don’t need to: develop a youth network and try to develop your own players (pp. 49-51)

Southampton have been a good model for this.
Brentford seem to be up to speed and QPR will probably be adopting this philosophy next season.



Entire Thread
TopicDate PostedPosted By
Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 10:27:00 Paul Corcoran
   Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 10:46:00 Richard Greenhough
   Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 10:51:00 bobby osborne
      Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 11:29:00 Paul Corcoran
         Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 12:09:00 Nigel Brooks
            Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 12:19:00 Adam Beamish
               Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 12:25:00 Will Watson
               Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 12:43:00 Nigel Brooks
                  Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 13:13:00 Julian Pavey
                     Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 13:32:00 Adam Beamish
                        Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 13:46:00 Bob Guyett
         Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 13:44:00 bobby osborne
            Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 13:47:00 Bob Guyett
               Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 14:02:00 Paul Corcoran
            Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 14:39:00 Richard Greenhough
               Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Brentford in the Playoffs05/05/15 17:12:00 R Rees Williams
                  Moneyball05/05/15 22:33:00 Andrew OSullivan
                     Re:Moneyball06/05/15 08:19:00 Paul Corcoran
                        Re:Re:Moneyball06/05/15 09:25:00 bobby osborne

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